« Antidemocratic and xenophobic forces of Europe have always been attracted by the European unity dream, the mystic of the imperial Rome»
(FB - 1998)
" Being a citizen is a voluntary act "
(FB - 2009)
"Thinking about the future only makes sense if it is aimed at improving one’s thinking about the present and about the trends at work"
(FB - 1998)
"The European project is not a dream, but a hope. It is rooted in rationality, which is not the case with dreams. We Europeans have seen our dreams end in nightmares too often not to be suspicious."
(FB - 2005)
"The strength of a network is judged at the information level of the weakest link, or more precisely the link furthest from the centre of the network."
(FB - 2004)
"Europe's destiny is escaping the two "Greats" and it will come knocking on the door of the Europeans."
(FB - 1989)
"The history of Europe is a bit like a multifaceted diamond. Everyone sees the same diamond... but no one sees exactly the same facets."
(FB - E-storia project, 2004)
"Let us dare the future as the founding fathers of Europe did"
(FB - "From EU to Euroland", 2001)
"The European citizenship can not be decreed. The European citizen can only be born..."
(FB - 1992)
"Every state is a minority in the EU. In any case, let’s not forget that if all our states went into building the EU it is because they all felt too small to face alone both their future and the rest of the world."
(FB - 2003)
"From a single (EU) Currency to a single (EU) Citizenship. The euro is only an instrument."
(FB - 1997)
"An empire is always providing platforms where conflicts and wars prolife­rate... an empire needs enemies, whilst a Community requires partners."
(FB - 1992)
"Europe’s history has taught us that dreams and nightmares are the two faces of the same coin"
(FB - “Europe is Peace” 2006)
"Everybody wants to have a successful enlargement whereas it is a successful enlarged EU which is important."
(FB - 2002)
"It is clear that the existing national political parties can not serve two masters: national and European."
(FB - IDE, 1989)
"It takes teamwork to make Europe move forward."
(FB - 2005)
"There is nothing like one European. The European is a team of Europeans... the only way we can imagine a European, it is a team of people from different countries, not a single man or woman."
(FB - Enschede (NL) 2012)
"On the horizon with a heaven of freedom and a land of responsibility, this is perhaps the soul of Europe."
(FB - 1992)
"The future challenge for the European project is not about Europe anymore, it is about the Europeans."
(FB - 2005)
"The more Brussels speaks English, the less Brussels understands the Europeans"
(FB - 2004)
"Occupy the Future of Europe!"
("What do YOU want as a future for AEGEE?" Franck Biancheri at the 2012 Agora in Enschede)
"To combine new technologies and democratic principles to succeed in the entry of European integration in the 21st century or e-democracy at the service of Euro-democracy"
(FB - EUSV, 2001)
"In the years 00 of the 21st century, democratization can only take place in the perspective of the democratic election of a European executive that remains to be invented."
(FB - EUSV, 2001)
"We must build the European Community, otherwise Europe will soon be culturally Americanised, politically Finlandised and technologically Japanised"
EGEE I, 1984

[:en]Europe: Countdowns are on! [:fr]Europe: comptes à rebours enclenchés ! (GEAB)[:]

[:en]

GEAB 130 – 15/12/2018

The ‘yellow vests’ (FR), the pro- and anti-Brexit protests (UK), the German political crisis (DE), the Catalan independence movement (SP), the budget battle (IT), the labour law reform (HU), the Marrakesh agreement and ministerial reshuffle (BE)… the European element in the increasingly violent crises currently feeding the national news is striking.

The European crisis, manifested and accelerated by the result of the British referendum, has precipitated the need for a complete overhaul of the European project that has been outstanding for two years now. However, two years later, in a Europe lacking leadership, the mobilisation of countless actors (political movements, governments, economic interests, foreign powers, etc.), in search of both solutions and the means to implement them, is becoming more and more visible in the form of a rat race in which different actions cancel each other out, revealing to the Europeans the gigantic political quagmire of the continent and throwing them out into the streets, angry and panicked.

Unfortunately, the different national translations of this unique European crisis are imprisoning both citizens and politicians inside their borders more than ever before. If there is, in fact, only one major European crisis, each nation sees it operating in a very different way to their neighbours, making it increasingly difficult for their leaders to react. Yet, a common crisis needs to identify a common response. But the chances of this joint response coming from the inside is diminishing as Europeans sink into the troubled waters of their narrow national gaze.

For 13 years, the GEAB has been working to identify patterns in the apparently disparate news of a system which is notoriously globalised. In this article dedicated to the European crisis in the run-up to the EU parliamentary elections, we will dig to the heart of this rich news, trying to make sense of the chaos and indicate the density of the schedule. -> Read the free extract GEAB 130 here: First semester of 2019 – Anger of nations, Balkans, end of the QE, Special Purpose Vehicle, Brexit, Elections… Europe: Countdowns are on! 

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In summary GEAB 130 (15/12/2018)

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Investments, trends and recommendations (Dec 2018)  General recommendation: Find shelters!  You will understand when reading this issue that the clouds are gathering during the end of this year and the beginning of the next. Take out […]

An evaluation of our anticipations for 2018 (drawn from GEAB No 121 of January 2018): 68% successful  17 Up et 16 Down Each year in December, we release an evaluation of our anticipations presented last January. This time, we end up with a final score of 22.5 […]

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[:fr]

GEAB 130 – 15/12/2018

Gilets jaunes (FR), manifestations pro et anti-Brexit (UK), crise politique allemande (DE), indépendantisme catalan (ES), bataille budgétaire (IT), réforme de la loi travail (HU), pacte de Marrakech et remaniement ministériel (BE)… La dimension européenne des crises de plus en plus violentes qui nourrissent l’actualité des pays est frappante.

Depuis deux ans, la crise européenne exprimée et accélérée par la conclusion du référendum britannique impose une vaste refondation du projet européen. Mais deux années plus tard, dans une Europe sans leadership, la mobilisation d’innombrables acteurs (mouvances politiques, gouvernements, intérêts économiques, puissances étrangères, etc.) en quête de solutions et de moyens pour les mettre en œuvre prend la forme de plus en plus visible d’une grande foire d’empoigne dans laquelle les actions s’annulent, révélant aux Européens le gigantesque marasme politique du continent et les jetant en colère/panique dans les rues.

Malheureusement, les différentes traductions nationales que prend cette crise européenne unique enferment plus que jamais les citoyens et politiques dans leurs frontières. S’il n’y a en fait qu’une grande crise européenne, chaque nationalité en voit une application dans les faits tellement différente de celles de ses voisins qu’il est de plus en plus difficile pour nos dirigeants d’y répondre. Pourtant, à crise commune, c’est bien une réponse commune qu’il faudra trouver. Mais les chances que cette réponse commune vienne de l’intérieur diminuent au fur et à mesure que les Européens s’enfoncent dans les eaux troubles de leurs regards nationaux étriqués.

Depuis 13 ans, le GEAB s’applique à relever les cohérences de l’actualité apparemment disparate d’un système pourtant notoirement globalisé. Dans cet article consacré à la crise européenne à l’approche des élections parlementaires de l’UE, nous allons naviguer au cœur de cette actualité si riche, tentant de faire sens du chaos et de montrer la densité d’échéances majeures. ->  Lire l’Extrait public du GEAB 130: Premier semestre 2019 – Colère des peuples, Balkans, fin du QE, Special Purpose Vehicle, Brexit, élections… Europe : comptes à rebours enclenchés !

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Au sommaire du GEAB 130 (15/12/2018)

Bienvenue dans le « geab.eu d’après » ! Geab.eu passe également par sa période de transition systémique ! Au terme d’un long processus de consultation, de réflexion, de construction, puis de mise en route, le nouveau site du GEAB […

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Évaluation de nos anticipations pour 2018 (issues du GEAB n°121 de janvier 2018) : 68 % de succès 17 Up et 16 Down Comme chaque année en décembre, nous avons procédé à l’évaluation de nos anticipations de tendances publiées au mois de janvier dernier. Nous tombons sur une […]

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