« Antidemocratic and xenophobic forces of Europe have always been attracted by the European unity dream, the mystic of the imperial Rome»
(FB - 1998)
" Being a citizen is a voluntary act "
(FB - 2009)
"Thinking about the future only makes sense if it is aimed at improving one’s thinking about the present and about the trends at work"
(FB - 1998)
"The European project is not a dream, but a hope. It is rooted in rationality, which is not the case with dreams. We Europeans have seen our dreams end in nightmares too often not to be suspicious."
(FB - 2005)
"The strength of a network is judged at the information level of the weakest link, or more precisely the link furthest from the centre of the network."
(FB - 2004)
"Europe's destiny is escaping the two "Greats" and it will come knocking on the door of the Europeans."
(FB - 1989)
"The history of Europe is a bit like a multifaceted diamond. Everyone sees the same diamond... but no one sees exactly the same facets."
(FB - E-storia project, 2004)
"Let us dare the future as the founding fathers of Europe did"
(FB - "From EU to Euroland", 2001)
"The European citizenship can not be decreed. The European citizen can only be born..."
(FB - 1992)
"Every state is a minority in the EU. In any case, let’s not forget that if all our states went into building the EU it is because they all felt too small to face alone both their future and the rest of the world."
(FB - 2003)
"From a single (EU) Currency to a single (EU) Citizenship. The euro is only an instrument."
(FB - 1997)
"An empire is always providing platforms where conflicts and wars prolife­rate... an empire needs enemies, whilst a Community requires partners."
(FB - 1992)
"Europe’s history has taught us that dreams and nightmares are the two faces of the same coin"
(FB - “Europe is Peace” 2006)
"Everybody wants to have a successful enlargement whereas it is a successful enlarged EU which is important."
(FB - 2002)
"It is clear that the existing national political parties can not serve two masters: national and European."
(FB - IDE, 1989)
"It takes teamwork to make Europe move forward."
(FB - 2005)
"There is nothing like one European. The European is a team of Europeans... the only way we can imagine a European, it is a team of people from different countries, not a single man or woman."
(FB - Enschede (NL) 2012)
"On the horizon with a heaven of freedom and a land of responsibility, this is perhaps the soul of Europe."
(FB - 1992)
"The future challenge for the European project is not about Europe anymore, it is about the Europeans."
(FB - 2005)
"The more Brussels speaks English, the less Brussels understands the Europeans"
(FB - 2004)
"Occupy the Future of Europe!"
("What do YOU want as a future for AEGEE?" Franck Biancheri at the 2012 Agora in Enschede)
"To combine new technologies and democratic principles to succeed in the entry of European integration in the 21st century or e-democracy at the service of Euro-democracy"
(FB - EUSV, 2001)
"In the years 00 of the 21st century, democratization can only take place in the perspective of the democratic election of a European executive that remains to be invented."
(FB - EUSV, 2001)
"We must build the European Community, otherwise Europe will soon be culturally Americanised, politically Finlandised and technologically Japanised"
EGEE I, 1984

Western geopolitics cracking at an accelerating pace – Juan Laborda (ElDiaro, 20/10/2023)

The war between Israel and Gaza is the umpteenth chess piece of the Western world on the geopolitical chessboard, equivalent to those already used, and mostly failed and broken, such as Afghanistan, Iraq, Libya, Egypt, Syria, Ukraine…


It is absolutely disheartening to watch our democracies languish. It is especially sad and disheartening to see how European leaders genuflect to an Anglo-Saxon vision of the world that is totally incompatible with the search for global peace. The multipolar world in which we now find ourselves, however much some Western leaders may regret it, requires cooperation that respects the heterogeneity of peoples. But this is incompatible with the current political and economic ruling class in the United States, fearful of losing control of the planet. They have not yet realized it, but they have already lost it. Many countries have already lost their fear of not following the slogans dictated from Washington and London.


The war between Israel and Gaza is the umpteenth chess piece of the Western world on the geopolitical chessboard, equivalent to those already used, and mostly failed and broken, such as Afghanistan, Iraq, Libya, Egypt, Syria, Ukraine… The problem is that before, from the West, the audience could be manipulated under a smokescreen, simulating the Hollywood recreation in that magnificent movie, Wag the Dog. Trying to reduce the brutal terrorist attack by Hamas to a script where we are presented as the good guys those who have been breaking UN resolutions for decades, setting up an apartheid against an entire people, the Palestinian people, is, to say the least, grotesque.


The West and the democracies have much to lose in this conflict. If they do not put limits on the crimes against humanity being perpetrated by Israel and continue to make a distinction between first and second class dead, our decline will accelerate, most especially that of the United States. Two additive political scenarios are playing out. On the one hand, the political anticipation of Frank Biancheri, a French political scientist, one of the fathers of the Erasmus scholarships, made back in 2010, according to which we were heading for a global conflict if Europe did not throw off the Anglo-Saxon yoke. On the other hand, and as a consequence of the above, I do not rule out that in the end the prediction of the Norwegian mathematician and sociologist Johan Galtung, who anticipated the loss of US global power in the decade we are now in, will also come true.


Frank Biancheri and Johan Galtung’s forecasts


But let’s take it one step at a time. Europe had the opportunity to change the roadmap, to promote a global cooperative model, which undoubtedly involved definitively throwing off the Anglo-Saxon yoke. That moment was the Great Recession. But it did not do so. As a consequence, we entered an alternative scenario of conflict. I highly recommend the careful reading of a visionary book by the great Franck Biancheri, one of the driving forces behind the Erasmus scholarships: “The World Crisis: The Path to the World Afterwards“. Biancheri detailed two scenarios, cooperation or chaos. And it was Europe that decided. In the end, the path followed by Europe leads us to a world in conflict, which Franck, more than 10 years in advance, predicted (Afghanistan, Libya, Egypt, Syria, Ukraine, … or what may now happen in the Middle East).


The underlying problem is that the dominant empire, the US, is certain that it will soon lose its hegemony to another, the Chinese. Behind it all, a reality: no one can compete with China, which took advantage of the gap and the opportunity given to it by the West. It is going to regain the world throne it has held for millennia. The last 150 years are, in the Chinese interpretation, a parenthesis from which they have learned their mistakes. What we are seeing can be summed up in one sentence: “China is not emerging. It is re-emerging.” The United States knows this and is trying to gain time and influence so that, when the time comes, it is not left behind, or, worse still, spread conflicts in different areas of the world that could end in an escalation of global war.


I have maintained this reasoning since I started analyzing the political derivatives of the current governance system, Neoliberalism, from Current Inverted Totalitarianism to Fascism. China’s technological and educational drive is so powerful that it is unstoppable. No one can compete with a country with such technological development as China, which also has state control of land, banking and long-term strategic planning. Only a military conflict can stop what is inevitable. The danger is that the United States is making this interpretation, as I believe is already happening.


This allows me to introduce, finally, the Conflict Theory of the Norwegian sociologist and mathematician Johan Galtung, who predicted, among other things, the collapse of the Soviet Union, and warned that the global power of the United States will collapse in the current decade. Many years ago, Galtung developed a theory of conflict based on the idea of synchronizing and mutually reinforcing contradictions, which he uses to make his predictions. The model is based on comparing the rise and fall of 10 historical empires. In 1996, he wrote a scientific paper published by George Mason University’s Institute for Conflict Analysis and Resolution warning that the United States would soon follow the same path as previous imperial constructs: decline and fall. But the main book that establishes Galtung’s prognosis was published in 2009, “The Fall of the American Empire” where he presents the 15 synchronizing and mutually reinforcing contradictions afflicting the American country that, according to him, will lead to the end of U.S. global power in this decade. The problem is that during this phase of decline the United States is likely to go through a phase of reactionary “fascism” that would stem from a capacity for tremendous global violence; a view of the American exception as the “fittest nation”; a belief in a coming final war between good and evil. But if their allies cease to behave as such, they will have to fend for themselves. What Galtung predicts is that the support of their once allies will not continue beyond the current decade. We shall see.


Juan Laborda

Source: “La geopolítica occidental se agrieta a marchas aceleradas”, ElDiaro.es, 20/10/2023


 Franck Biancheri playing chess in Sevilla